Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028613 0.030826 0.033140 0.035743 0.038593 0.041624 0.045094
2025-02-02 0.025320 0.028510 0.032025 0.036200 0.041039 0.046492 0.053131
2025-02-09 0.022668 0.026367 0.030604 0.035845 0.042191 0.049675 0.059237
2025-02-16 0.020790 0.024821 0.029586 0.035680 0.043329 0.052697 0.065170
2025-02-23 0.019240 0.023478 0.028621 0.035386 0.044145 0.055233 0.070538
2025-03-02 0.018076 0.022486 0.027965 0.035357 0.045198 0.058035 0.076355
2025-03-09 0.016886 0.021358 0.027029 0.034851 0.045524 0.059822 0.080849
2025-03-16 0.015779 0.020256 0.026037 0.034169 0.045516 0.061091 0.084634
2025-03-23 0.014934 0.019440 0.025357 0.033842 0.045933 0.062923 0.089299
2025-03-30 0.014182 0.018699 0.024727 0.033522 0.046309 0.064677 0.093926
2025-04-06 0.013388 0.017856 0.023903 0.032866 0.046134 0.065580 0.097276
2025-04-13 0.012994 0.017542 0.023791 0.033211 0.047429 0.068725 0.104327
2025-04-20 0.012493 0.017058 0.023419 0.033161 0.048135 0.071033 0.110256
2025-04-27 0.012164 0.016802 0.023357 0.033561 0.049544 0.074515 0.118392
2025-05-04 0.011651 0.016253 0.022837 0.033233 0.049784 0.076131 0.123475
2025-05-11 0.011224 0.015810 0.022451 0.033081 0.050282 0.078179 0.129444
2025-05-18 0.010797 0.015346 0.022008 0.032812 0.050564 0.079868 0.134886
2025-05-25 0.010461 0.015003 0.021731 0.032785 0.051233 0.082238 0.141744
2025-06-01 0.010038 0.014510 0.021202 0.032323 0.051136 0.083267 0.146156
2025-06-08 0.009602 0.013981 0.020594 0.031700 0.050727 0.083708 0.149457
2025-06-15 0.009268 0.013597 0.020195 0.031400 0.050853 0.085102 0.154716
2025-06-22 0.008955 0.013233 0.019813 0.031107 0.050969 0.086474 0.160030
2025-06-29 0.008592 0.012776 0.019265 0.030507 0.050502 0.086732 0.163072